Signs of an Office Market Bottom: ‘The Worst Is Probably Over’

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Sales of office buildings jumped nearly 21 percent last year, and leasing activity is up, too. Companies are looking for more space as work-from-home policies peter out.

By Joe Gose

For office landlords, a bad dream that began in March 2020 seems to finally be nearing an end — but only if you’re in well-located, high-end properties in major U.S. markets.

Sales of office buildings across the country totaled $64.3 billion last year, up nearly 21 percent from 2023, according to MSCI Real Assets, a provider of commercial property research. In central business districts, which have suffered from empty buildings and streets long after pandemic stay-at-home orders ended, the pickup was even faster.

Leasing activity is also gaining momentum, according to a report by CBRE, a real estate services firm: In 2024, 6.5 million more square feet of U.S. office space was leased than vacated, the highest amount in any year since 2019. In newer offices in higher-cost markets, like New York, Silicon Valley and Austin, Texas, the average asking rate of $65 per square foot was up nearly 17 percent from the previous year, according to JLL, a real estate services firm.

Sale prices are still declining, but more slowly after years of free-falling devaluation. Last year, the average sales price for U.S. office properties fell 11 percent, according to CommercialEdge, a real estate research organization — an improvement from the 24 percent drop in 2023.

Companies are looking for more office space as work-from-home policies peter out, office landlords and developers said, with many seeking premium buildings with state-of-the-art amenities.

Sales of foreclosed properties and distressed mortgages are also increasing, which could be a sign that investors think assessed values have stabilized enough to take on the risk, suggesting a bottoming of the market.

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